Wednesday, April 22, 2009

UPCOMING WEEKEND POTENTIAL































It appears that this weekend into Monday may hold some chase potential. It's still too far away to get into details, but the latest 0Z NAM sure paints a pretty picture.


A low pressure system is progged to move near the plains by Saturday ejecting impulses of energy which will allow storms to develop. Just enough energy should make it's way into the warm sector to allow isolated supercells to develop.

The NAM paints almost 3,000 CAPE in NW Oklahoma along with the Eastern OK Panhandle and NE sections of the TX Panhandle. It also hints at a very tight dryline gradient, but later runs have moved the dryline further west.

Like previous setups, moisture will finally be available for some big storms to get rooted near the surface. Td in the lower to mid 60's shouldn't be a problem with this event.

As for a loose target, I' really like the area in the East sections of the Oklahoma Panhandle. I like to stay on the NE side of my target area so I won't have to play "catch up" all day.

TARGET FOR SATURDAY: LAVERNE, OK

3 comments:

David Drummond said...

I think you should stay home man. The CAPE is not 10,000, the dewpoints aren't 85 and it's far enough away you might actually have to get in your car! LOL

Dann Cianca said...

See you out there man! We're coming down for Sat/Sun.

Dann.

Steve Miller TX said...

Gentlemen, start your camcorders! let the chase-o-rama begin!!! :-)