Sunday, June 7, 2009

6/8/09 CHASE FORECAST

Well, it looks like some severe weather will be closer to home on Monday. Very high CAPE values around 3-4 thousand along with decent upper level wind fields will yield possible supercells. I'm looking at targeting the corridor from Vernon, TX to Seymour to Wichita Falls.

Forecast soundings are showing 0-6 km shear in north Texas which will help supercell potential. There may be some very large hail reports with any storms that can stay isolated and realize the high CAPE that may be in place. Tornado potential is small, but it's definitely not out of the question.

I'll update again before I leave in the morning.

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