Well, I guess I'm glad I stayed at home looking for trends on radar before I ventured out Sunday. I wasn't really hoping for much, hence the reason I stayed home until something popped on radar. Enough of that, let's talk about Monday.
Unfortunately, I have to work Monday, but I'm going to go ahead try to establish a target area. Also, my target area will be updated in the morning.
A potent low will emerge into the plains during the evening hours. This will help bring in moisture from the gulf, and I think Td of near 60 will be probable in the warm sector. Also, the upper level winds field will be very strong, and there will also be very good directional shear. Cloud cover may very well play a role in keeping daytime heating down, resulting in lower instability throughout the day.
Obviously, with the strong upper level winds, shear will be more than enough for supercells, but the aforementioned lack of instability may negate that condition.
Going over data, right now I would think about targeting PONCA CITY, OK
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
2 comments:
I hope no one remembers me saying I was going to chase on Sunday. In reality ... we went to have a look at Greensburg ... really.
Ditto that one Dann! I think I posted in my blog that It was a POSSIBLE chase day. See, I covered my butt!
Always say possible, and you will be covered. :-)
Post a Comment